Hf Sinclair Corp Stock Volatility

DINO Stock  USD 58.53  1.14  1.99%   
As of now, DINO Stock is very steady. HF Sinclair Corp retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0675, which attests that the entity had a 0.0675 % return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for HF Sinclair, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please check out HF Sinclair's Standard Deviation of 2.02, semi deviation of 1.54, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2371 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.13%.

Sharpe Ratio = 0.0675

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CashSmall RiskDINOHigh RiskHuge Risk
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Based on monthly moving average HF Sinclair is performing at about 5% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of HF Sinclair by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.
Key indicators related to HF Sinclair's volatility include:
90 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
90 Days Economic Sensitivity
HF Sinclair Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of DINO daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use DINO's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of HF Sinclair volatility.

ESG Sustainability

While most ESG disclosures are voluntary, HF Sinclair's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to HF Sinclair's managers and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as HF Sinclair can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of HF Sinclair at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase DINO stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of HF Sinclair's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns. Main indicators related to HF Sinclair's market risk premium analysis include:
Beta
0.48
Alpha
0.0798
Risk
2
Sharpe Ratio
0.0675
Expected Return
0.13

Moving together with DINO Stock

  0.9MPC Marathon Petroleum CorpPairCorr
  0.83PBF PBF EnergyPairCorr
  0.78PSX Phillips 66PairCorr
  0.77VLO Valero EnergyPairCorr
  0.63GPRE Green Plains RenewablePairCorr
  0.77PEN PBF EnergyPairCorr
  0.72MPN Marathon Petroleum CorpPairCorr
  0.66V1L Valero EnergyPairCorr
  0.830V4 ValvolinePairCorr

Moving against DINO Stock

  0.75VEA Viva Energy GroupPairCorr
  0.55ALD AmpolPairCorr
  0.51GEVO Gevo IncPairCorr
  0.48CLZ Ampol LimitedPairCorr
  0.384QVA Siamgas and PetrochePairCorr

HF Sinclair Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

HF Sinclair's beta coefficient measures the volatility of DINO stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents DINO stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, HF Sinclair's beta of 0.48 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk HF Sinclair stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. HF Sinclair Corp has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.72 and kurtosis of 0.51. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure HF Sinclair's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact HF Sinclair's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
Check current 90 days HF Sinclair correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)
α0.08   β0.48
3 Months Beta |Analyze HF Sinclair Corp Demand Trend
Check current 90 days HF Sinclair correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)

HF Sinclair Volatility and Downside Risk

DINO standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Using DINO Put Option to Manage Risk

Put options written on HF Sinclair grant holders of the option the right to sell a specified amount of HF Sinclair at a specified price within a specified time frame. The put buyer has a limited loss and, while not fully unlimited gains, as the price of DINO Stock cannot fall below zero, the put buyer does gain as the price drops. So, one way investors can hedge HF Sinclair's position is by buying a put option against it. The put option used this way is usually referred to as insurance. If an undesired outcome occurs and loss on holding HF Sinclair will be realized, the loss incurred will be offset by the profits made with the option trade.

HF Sinclair's PUT expiring on 2026-05-15

   Profit   
       HF Sinclair Price At Expiration  

Current HF Sinclair Insurance Chain

DeltaGammaOpen IntExpirationCurrent SpreadLast Price
Put
DINO260515P00062500-0.5951080.03481162026-05-156.4 - 7.10.0View
Put
DINO260515P00060000-0.5089690.0353331352026-05-154.9 - 5.60.0View
Put
DINO260515P00057500-0.4213340.034656212026-05-153.5 - 4.30.0View
Put
DINO260515P00055000-0.3354510.031697602026-05-152.5 - 3.20.0View
Put
DINO260515P00052500-0.2583370.027302452026-05-151.75 - 2.350.0View
Put
DINO260515P00050000-0.1904230.022502642026-05-151.1 - 1.70.0View
Put
DINO260515P00047500-0.1382660.017539592026-05-150.75 - 1.20.0View
Put
DINO260515P00045000-0.0985550.01318412152026-05-150.45 - 0.90.0View
Put
DINO260515P00042500-0.0606310.009159222026-05-150.1 - 0.650.0View
Put
DINO260515P00040000-0.101560.00868720612026-05-150.0 - 1.150.0View
Put
DINO260515P00037500-0.0885980.0070721032026-05-150.0 - 1.10.0View
View All HF Sinclair Options

HF Sinclair Corp Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which HF Sinclair stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with HF Sinclair's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of HF Sinclair's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of HF Sinclair's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures HF Sinclair's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict HF Sinclair's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for HF Sinclair's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on HF Sinclair's to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. HF Sinclair Corp Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

HF Sinclair Projected Return Density Against Market

Given the investment horizon of 90 days HF Sinclair has a beta of 0.4773 suggesting as returns on the market go up, HF Sinclair average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding HF Sinclair Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to HF Sinclair or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that HF Sinclair's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a DINO stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
HF Sinclair Corp has an alpha of 0.0798, implying that it can generate a 0.0798 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
HF Sinclair's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how dino stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a HF Sinclair Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract investor attention to the company. This positive attention may impact the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

HF Sinclair Stock Risk Measures

Given the investment horizon of 90 days the coefficient of variation of HF Sinclair is 1482.49. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 4.0 and standard deviation of 2.0. The mean deviation of HF Sinclair Corp is currently at 1.52. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.81
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.48
σ
Overall volatility
2.00
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

HF Sinclair Stock Return Volatility

HF Sinclair historical daily return volatility represents how much of HF Sinclair stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm inherits 2.0002% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.764% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

Related Correlations Analysis


Correlation Matchups

Over a given time period, the two securities move together when the Correlation Coefficient is positive. Conversely, the two assets move in opposite directions when the Correlation Coefficient is negative. Determining your positions' relationship to each other is valuable for analyzing and projecting your portfolio's future expected return and risk.

High positive correlations

MGYCRC
CRCUGP
MGYUGP
RIGCRC
UGPVVV
CRCVVV
  

High negative correlations

UUUUCVI
GLNGCVI
RIGCVI
CVIUGP
CVIVVV
MGYCVI

Risk-Adjusted Indicators

There is a big difference between DINO Stock performing well and HF Sinclair Company doing well as a business compared to the competition. There are so many exceptions to the norm that investors cannot definitively determine what's good or bad unless they analyze HF Sinclair's multiple risk-adjusted performance indicators across the competitive landscape. These indicators are quantitative in nature and help investors forecast volatility and risk-adjusted expected returns across various positions.
Mean DeviationJensen AlphaSortino RatioTreynor RatioSemi DeviationExpected ShortfallPotential UpsideValue @RiskMaximum Drawdown
VVV  1.62  0.26  0.15  0.29  1.45 
 3.83 
 10.00 
UGP  1.81  0.31  0.12  0.35  2.31 
 3.25 
 13.99 
CVI  2.05 (0.72) 0.00 (0.90) 0.00 
 3.78 
 19.04 
CRC  1.59  0.28  0.12  0.54  1.69 
 3.61 
 8.47 
VAL  2.73  0.85  0.30  0.71  2.12 
 7.22 
 39.09 
MUR  2.29  0.22  0.08  0.26  2.74 
 4.80 
 19.80 
MGY  1.43  0.27  0.13  0.63  1.50 
 3.08 
 8.43 
RIG  2.31  0.64  0.20  0.53  2.43 
 7.67 
 15.17 
UUUU  4.98  0.47  0.08  0.48  5.45 
 10.73 
 29.43 
GLNG  1.22  0.15  0.09  0.43  1.10 
 2.79 
 5.99 

About HF Sinclair Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of HF Sinclair or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of HF Sinclair may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to DINO's beta indicator, it measures the risk of HF Sinclair and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of HF Sinclair fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Market Cap6.1 B6.4 B
HF Sinclair's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on DINO Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much HF Sinclair's price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize HF Sinclair's volatility to invest better

Higher HF Sinclair's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of HF Sinclair Corp stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. HF Sinclair Corp stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of HF Sinclair Corp investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in HF Sinclair's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of HF Sinclair's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

HF Sinclair Investment Opportunity

HF Sinclair Corp has a volatility of 2.0 and is 2.63 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 17 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than HF Sinclair. You can use HF Sinclair Corp to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The stock experiences a large bullish trend. Check odds of HF Sinclair to be traded at $64.38 in 90 days.

Significant diversification

The correlation between HF Sinclair Corp and DJI is 0.04 (i.e., Significant diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding HF Sinclair Corp and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

HF Sinclair Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of HF Sinclair's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in HF Sinclair's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of HF Sinclair stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

HF Sinclair Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against HF Sinclair as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. HF Sinclair's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, HF Sinclair's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to HF Sinclair Corp.
When determining whether HF Sinclair Corp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of HF Sinclair's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Hf Sinclair Corp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Hf Sinclair Corp Stock:
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in HF Sinclair Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.
You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.
Will Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing sector continue expanding? Could DINO diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of HF Sinclair. Projected growth potential of DINO fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every HF Sinclair data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.389
Dividend Share
2
Earnings Share
2.15
Revenue Per Share
143.239
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.006
Understanding HF Sinclair Corp requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects DINO's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what HF Sinclair's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push HF Sinclair's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between HF Sinclair's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding HF Sinclair should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, HF Sinclair's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.